New Florida Poll Shows Trump Leading Clinton

“… could make it difficult …”

A new survey by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by two points in the state of Florida.

Trump received 43 percent support over Clinton’s 41 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson garnered 8 percent and the remaining 5 percent were undecided.

Florida is a swing state during the general election, with both Republican and Democrats fighting hard to earn votes. Barack Obama won the state both in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.

Both candidates have struggled with their favorability ratings in Florida. Trump currently sits at 56 percent unfavorable rating, while Clinton holds 58 percent. However, Trump has a higher loyalty score with voters, earning a strong 94 percent.

Clinton leads Trump among female voters with 4 points, while Trump leads among men 46 percent to 36 percent.

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Associate professor of political science at FAU and a research fellow of the Initiative Kevin Wagner believes Florida will remain a close race and only the most pressing issues will determine the winner.

“The fact that both Mr. Trump and Secretary Clinton are significantly upside down in their favorability ratings could make it difficult for either to move substantially ahead,” he said. “Clinton likely got a boost from the fact that Floridians chose experience as the top quality they are looking for in their presidential candidate. But, Floridians also chose dissatisfaction with government as their top issue, which likely favors Mr. Trump.”

When it comes to Florida’s minority voters, Trump is lagging behind. He trails Clinton with African-Americans 68 to 20 percent, and Hispanics 50 to 40 percent, but leads significantly with white voters 49 to 33 percent.

“The race between Clinton and Trump among Hispanics in Florida is closer than it is nationally,” said Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., director of the BEPI. “Some of that is probably the Cuban vote. Trump’s support among Latinos in Florida is helping him stay competitive.”

The GOP nominee and real estate mogul recently launched an Hispanic outreach program which would focus his campaign on winning the Latino vote. This advisory council met with him Saturday in order to determine the most effective ways to present his proposals to the Hispanic community.

Trump has also made an appeal to black voters in order to close the wide gap between himself and Clinton, arguing that blacks who have suffered under Democratic leadership have “nothing to lose,” by taking a chance and voting Republican.

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